TLDR:
Event-driven alerts work and I like that the success rate is visible on the website
There are a lot of alerts you can subscribe to, so it’s best to choose one of their lower volume, higher performing strategies to avoid opportunity overload
It’s good at finding high shorter term returns with high success rates
For the biggest companies (AAPL, TSLA, etc), my news alerts arrived faster. For those under 100B market cap, it's very helpful.
Price is 228/yr which is an easy lift
Winning Percent: 79%
Avg Return/trade: 23%
I’ve been using an event-driven research system called LevelFields for about a year now. It was a little rough around the edges in the early days but has gotten much better over time. It’s good at identifying news events early that drive stock prices up and down, often from direct announcements from companies. It shows stock patterns following events, which is cool, especially for the negative events so you can see how far the stock will probably fall.
They effectively filter the noise out of the news and just focus on a couple dozen event types that really shake stock prices: hedge fund investor moves, layoffs, shorts, FDA approvals, leadership changes, Amazon new product launches, and a couple dozen other types.
Unlike the technical pattern alert systems out there I’ve seen, it focuses on real news, which I like, as I feel pattern trading is often a lot like staring at clouds and making shapes out of them in your mind.
For the big companies everyone watches, they don’t beat news alerts. But for the bulk of the companies you’ve never heard of or have forgotten about, it flags a lot of opportunities and companies on the rise.
Most of the time I trade with the information. Sometimes I use it to find stocks for longer term plays. They put out a lot of opportunities but they publish the success rate and show all past alerts so the past performance is embedded in the platform under each strategy, which is nice.
The winning rates for their strategies range from a high of 90% to a low of 50%, with most in the 70% range. You can alter the outcomes by adjusting the filters for the types of stocks. I don’t like to buy commodities and microcaps generally, as the prices fluctuate too much on factors beyond the company’s control, so I filter those out.
Most of their events rise 10-30% within a month. I’ve seen some rise 200% in a day and many by that rate over longer periods. They flagged a few of the short squeezes like Gamestop really early but I was not a member then.
Lately, I’ve been trading on their layoffs scenario, which tracks companies firing people. If you filter for just expensive stocks that are firing people to grow earnings, you can get to 80% accuracy in price prediction. I like to do option trades off of it when time allows as the returns can be 100-300% per event, per week.
Some of the strategies put off an event a month and others are finding 10-20 per week so I’ve had to be disciplined in how often I want to trade. I’ve noticed some events cause the share prices to pop right away, so I often wait for the first selloff before entering the trade.
Here are the alerts I opted to move on and how they turned out. I’m noting hold times since it’s not a buy and hold forever system though I supposed you could for some stocks.
10.21.21 - Qualcomm. Return: stock rose +50% in 1 month. Traded options for +300% gain.
11.11.21 - Northern Gas (NOG). Return: +45%. I held for 5 months.
12.9.21 - CVS. return: +60% in 1 month (options)
11.18.21 - BLDR. Return: +67% in 4 days (options)
12.04.21 Signature Bank SBNY. Return: +16% in 1 month. I then traded a couple more times on it as it was doing well until the Crypto crash. It holds a lot of staked Bitcoin.
12.6.21 Silicon Motion (SIMO). +25% in 2 months. Still like this semi and will buy back. They do memory chips and had been killing it. It was hard to find a cheap semi at one point but this one always traded at a reasonable p/e.
12.9.21 Labcorp (LH): +8% in 1 month but I held it too long and exited down -10% due to covid rates dwindling and testing volumes decreasing
12.15.21 - Broadcom (AVGO). Return: 0% Sold off when war started. One of the best semis IMO and will buy back at some point.
2.3.22 - Quest (DGX). Return: +50% in 1 month via option trade
2.15.22 - Upstart (UPST): Return: +30% on options in 1 week. I had owned this stock already and was trading it off and on for about a year..
2.24.22 - ALSN (Allison Transmission ). Return: +8% in 1 month
3.11.22 - Applied Materials (AMAT). Return: +4% in a week.
3.17.22 - Lockheed Martin (LMT): Return: +70% in 3 weeks (option trade on news Germany was buying planes)
3.17.22 - CMC Steel. Return: +10% in 1 month
3.31.22 - LGVN. Return: +20% in 1 day. I saw this alert late. Stock was up 100% on news of a good clinical trial outcome
5.9.22 - TWTR. Return +100% on puts in 1 mo. This was the “Elon will back out” trade a big hedge fund was betting on, so I joined them. A short would’ve worked too.
5.24.22 - Digital Ocean (DOCN): Returns TBD. Up 8% on equity but I’m selling covered calls for an extra 20% annually. I really like this company. It’s like a mini AWS that is more cost effective for small businesses.
6.24.22 - Digital Turbine (APPS). +31% in 2 months. I think this was mostly luck given the timing of the bear market rally.
6.28.22 - Alibaba (BABA). -30% on options in 3 weeks. Can’t seem to get a break on BABA.
7.14.22 - Pinterest (PINS). +30% on hedge fund moves
7.27.22 - RIO Tinto: return: -10% on option puts. Still puzzled why the stock is up.
7.28.22 - Siga Technologies (SIGA): +4% and holding. They are one of the only medicines for monkeypox. Hoping I didn’t get into it too late but seems not given the spread rate is still pretty low.
8.12.22 - Peloton (PTON). +10% in a day on its layoff news
8.15.22 - Daqo New Energy (DQ): -3%. It makes solar cells in China and growing revenues by triple digits. I keep getting burned by the Chinese government but taking another chance on a long term bet here. It’s a small position though.